Polymarket Predicts 42% Chance of Bitcoin at $95K

• Polymarket users predict a 42% chance BTC falls to $95K
• Sentiment signals possible near-term correction
• Macro and technical trends are driving the outlook

On Polymarket, a leading prediction market, users have placed a 42% chance that Bitcoin will fall to $95,000 or below by the end of this month. The figure highlights growing concerns about short-term volatility even after Bitcoin’s recent highs.

Why Traders Are Betting on a Dip

1. Macro-economic risks – Uncertainty around interest rate policy and inflation could impact crypto sentiment.
2. Technical resistance zones – Bitcoin has struggled to sustain gains above $100K, with strong selling pressure noted near this level.
3. Shift in market psychology – As Bitcoin consolidates, more participants are betting on a short-term pullback.

🚀 What Could Trigger the Drop?

Despite bullish long-term fundamentals, short-term headwinds may test Bitcoin’s strength. If broader financial markets face a downturn or if Bitcoin fails to hold critical support levels, the $95K target could become reality.

Factors to Monitor

• Economic indicators: Fed policy shifts, inflation data
• Exchange flows: Large BTC movements onto exchanges
• Technical chart patterns: Failure to hold above $98K–$100K may lead to increased selling

🧭 How Traders Might React

• Day traders could take advantage of short-term volatility
• Investors may wait for confirmation before entering new positions
• Hedgers might use derivatives to manage potential downside risks

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