CLARITY Act Has 55% Chance of Becoming Law in 2024
Polymarket users give the CLARITY Act a 55% chance of passing into U.S. law this year, reflecting rising crypto regulation focus.

- CLARITY Act has 55% passage odds on Polymarket
- Reflects growing anticipation for U.S. crypto legislation
- Could impact stablecoins and digital asset clarity
CLARITY Act Gains Momentum Among Crypto Watchers
According to predictions on Polymarket, the odds that the CLARITY Act will be signed into U.S. law in 2024 have risen to 55%. This reflects growing confidence within the crypto community that Washington may finally bring clearer regulations to the digital asset space.
The CLARITY Act—short for Crypto-Linked Asset Reporting and Transparency Improvement for You—aims to set clearer legal definitions for digital assets, especially regarding stablecoins, securities classifications, and custody frameworks.
While the bill still faces political hurdles, a majority of Polymarket participants now believe it stands a better-than-even chance of becoming law before the end of the year.
What the CLARITY Act Could Mean for Crypto
The passage of the CLARITY Act would be a watershed moment for the U.S. crypto industry. Key elements of the bill reportedly include:
- Stablecoin regulation clarity under federal frameworks
- Clear definitions of digital asset securities vs. commodities
- Guidance on crypto custody for banks and institutions
This clarity could finally provide a regulatory foundation that helps unlock institutional adoption and prevent further confusion between the SEC and CFTC over who governs what.
The bipartisan interest in crypto legislation—especially following the high-profile collapses of FTX and Celsius—has fueled a stronger push in Congress for bills like CLARITY.
Market Sentiment Signals Optimism
Polymarket’s rising odds aren’t just speculative—they reflect broader sentiment shifts. As more lawmakers become open to crypto innovation and regulatory compromise, the community is sensing a tipping point.
If passed, the CLARITY Act could give U.S.-based crypto businesses and investors a clear legal framework—potentially triggering renewed capital inflows and innovation.
Still, passage is not guaranteed. The crypto community will be watching closely as the bill moves through Congress in the coming months.
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