Bitcoin Could Reach Half of Gold’s Value by 2028
VanEck predicts Bitcoin could be worth half as much as gold by the next halving in 2028.

- VanEck forecasts Bitcoin could match 50% of gold’s market value.
- Prediction aligns with Bitcoin’s next halving cycle in 2028.
- Institutional interest and scarcity may drive long-term price growth.
Leading investment firm VanEck has made a bold projection: Bitcoin could be worth half as much as gold by the time of its next halving in 2028. This statement places a spotlight on the long-term growth potential of the world’s largest cryptocurrency, which is increasingly being seen as “digital gold” by institutional investors.
According to VanEck’s research team, Bitcoin’s value proposition as a scarce, decentralized asset continues to strengthen. As more investors look for hedges against inflation and traditional financial risk, Bitcoin is steadily capturing a portion of the demand traditionally reserved for gold.
Why the 2028 Halving Matters
Bitcoin’s halving events occur roughly every four years and reduce the block rewards miners receive by 50%. This built-in scarcity has historically triggered bull runs, as reduced supply often meets increasing demand.
The next halving is expected in 2028, and if VanEck’s prediction plays out, we could see Bitcoin’s market capitalization soaring to nearly $7.5 trillion—half of gold’s current estimated value. While this sounds ambitious, Bitcoin has already seen explosive growth since its inception, outperforming most traditional assets over the past decade.
Institutional Adoption and Scarcity Drive Optimism
A key driver behind this forecast is the growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin. With the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, regulatory clarity improving in major economies, and increasing crypto custody solutions for big players, Bitcoin is entering mainstream portfolios.
Furthermore, Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins gives it a unique advantage in times of fiat currency debasement. Investors are increasingly treating it as a long-term store of value, much like gold.
Although market conditions will continue to fluctuate, VanEck’s bullish outlook reinforces a growing narrative: Bitcoin may be on a path to rival gold’s role in the global financial system.