Bitcoin’s February Trend: Will History Repeat in 2025
Bitcoin has historically seen double-digit gains in February, averaging +14% in past post-halving years. Will BTC follow the trend?
- BTC only saw February losses in 2014 & 2020—a bear market and halving year.
- In post-halving years, Bitcoin gained +61% (2013), +23% (2017), and +36% (2021) in February.
- Historical trends suggest February often delivers strong upside for BTC.
Bitcoin’s historical price action suggests that February is often a strong month for BTC, especially in post-halving years. The only times Bitcoin saw negative February returns were in:
- 2014 (a bear market year)
- 2020 (a halving year)
This year, however, Bitcoin is in a post-halving phase, which has historically produced double-digit gains in February.
How BTC Performed in Past Post-Halving Years
Looking at past post-halving cycles, Bitcoin has posted impressive gains during February:
- 2013: +61%
- 2017: +23%
- 2021: +36%
The average upside for BTC in February stands at +14%, making it one of the more bullish months in Bitcoin’s cycle. If history repeats itself, BTC could be on track for another strong rally this month.
Will 2025 Follow the Trend?
While historical trends don’t guarantee future performance, market conditions, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic factors will play a key role. Investors are watching closely to see if Bitcoin can deliver another strong February, continuing its post-halving momentum.
