Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Points to 2025 Bull Run
Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle suggests 2025 could mark the next major bull run, as long-term holders stay the course.
- Bitcoin has followed a 4-year cycle pattern for a decade.
- 2025 aligns with the expected next bull phase.
- Over 52% of Bitcoin supply is held by long-term holders.
History Repeats: Bitcoin’s Reliable 4-Year Rhythm
For over a decade, Bitcoin has demonstrated a surprisingly consistent behavior: three years of growth followed by one year of correction. This repeating 4-year cycle has become a guiding principle for long-term investors and seasoned crypto analysts alike. Despite the flood of on-chain metrics and market data, it’s the simplicity of this pattern that continues to hold power in the eyes of true believers.
From its early days to the most recent market cycles, Bitcoin has followed this rhythm with uncanny precision. Each major bull run—2013, 2017, and 2021—was followed by a year of correction, eventually giving way to a new phase of growth. If this cycle holds, 2025 could be the next breakout year.
The Role of Holders in Bitcoin’s Market Behavior
One of the strongest signals backing the 4-year cycle theory comes from Bitcoin’s holders. Currently, over 52% of the total Bitcoin supply is held by long-term holders, or HODLers—individuals who believe in Bitcoin’s long-term value and resist selling in downturns.
This solid base of holders reduces selling pressure during corrections and creates a stable foundation for future growth. It’s not traders or short-term speculators who drive these cycles—it’s the conviction of long-term participants who understand Bitcoin’s broader timeline.
What to Expect in 2025
If history is any indicator, the next explosive phase for Bitcoin may arrive in 2025. With the 2024 halving already acting as a key event that traditionally kickstarts bull runs, all eyes are on what the next 12-18 months may bring.
While no one can predict the market with certainty, Bitcoin’s past cycles offer a map for those willing to zoom out and play the long game. For those who believe in the pattern, the next chapter may be just beginning—and it could be a historic one.
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