Traders Say 15% Chance Bitcoin Hits $150K by June 2026

• Kalshi traders assign 15% odds for $BTC to hit $150K
• Prediction reflects market uncertainty and sentiment
• Long-term bullish trend still possible despite low odds

Kalshi Traders Set Low Odds for $BTC Surge

According to traders on Kalshi, there is currently a 15% chance that Bitcoin ($BTC) will reach $150,000 before June 2026. This prediction reflects the sentiment of market participants on the regulated event trading platform, where users can bet on real-world outcomes, including financial events.

While the idea of Bitcoin hitting $150K has been popular among long-term bulls, the relatively low probability given by Kalshi traders suggests a cautious outlook. Several factors, such as macroeconomic conditions, interest rates, regulatory developments, and broader crypto adoption, could influence whether Bitcoin can achieve such a milestone.

Understanding the $150K Target

Bitcoin has seen massive growth in the past, with all-time highs reaching around $69,000 in late 2021. A move to $150,000 would represent more than a 2x increase from those levels.

Historically, Bitcoin has experienced major bull runs following its halving cycles, the most recent of which occurred in 2024. Many analysts believe these events can set the stage for significant price increases within 12–18 months. However, Kalshi’s 15% odds show that traders are factoring in the challenges Bitcoin may face on its journey to a six-figure valuation.

Market Sentiment and Long-Term Outlook

While 15% may seem low, it still indicates a non-negligible possibility for a major breakout. Market sentiment can change rapidly, especially in the crypto space. If Bitcoin adoption grows, institutional interest returns, or inflationary concerns rise, these factors could push prices higher.

In short, although the prediction is cautious, the door remains open for Bitcoin to make another historic run — just with some hurdles to clear.

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